I think its a dead cert, and the sooner they do it, the less money they'll bleed.But the trouble is, they can't keep chipping away a little bit at a time every 3 months for the next year. This would be very disruptive and bad for morale, and expensive operationally and difficult for HR to manage. Same goes for doing it piece-meal in each OG individually. Instead, they will want to do it in a single go as decisively as possible. Interesting question will be whether the package offered will be the same as last time. Not sure if employment law says anything about this - I suspect not. PS. Redundancies were also announced in the US just before Christmas.