I am no expert, but in my humble view we are yet to see an adequate price correction in the UK housing market. Certainly if you compare it to the US - where, depending on what metric you look at, house prices fell almost consistently for 3 years.My view is that first-time buyers are critical component of the housing mkt. Given they are where property chains begin - A buys B, so B has funds to buy C etc. The volume of first-time buyers able to borrow at pre-crunch income multiples is vastly reduced. As indeed is overall housing transaction volume if you look at the data. The UK housing market is effectively stalled now. However, at some point volumes will need to revert to the long term avg. People still need to move - divorce / jobless / relocation etc. My sense is that prices will fall to accomodate this. People will simply have to accept less. Low interest rates have helped to delay this decision for many. The argument the Government can support the housing market indefintely is a nonsense - look at housing assets to the UK's budget. On the flip side, the bears like me have predicted 5 out of the last 2 recessions :-) Cue all the homeowners now screaming the bears are wrong.